Tuesday, May 17, 2011

How much land will burn this summer?

Fire predictions for this summer have been released by the Alaska Fire Science Consortium. The median forecast for the 2011 season is 1,522,000 acres.

As of May 14, 881 acres have burned. There is a 1 percent chance that less than 500,000 acres will burn. There is a 48 percent chance that between 500,000 and 1.5 million acres will burn and a 51 percent chance that more than 1.5 million acres will burn.

The research was conducted by SNAP, ACCAP and NOAA. The work is funded by the Alaska Wildland Fire Coordinating Group. For more information contact Sarah Trainor, AFSC principal investigator and SNRAS research assistant professor.

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